Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts

Friday, July 1, 2011

Americans are being comprehensively screwed





Check out this report which lays bare the economical betrayal of ordinary Americans in the interests of big business and a merciless plutocracy.
At this rate they will become the working poor of the developed world, there to suffer sub-par services, work till they die, and live in the darkening core of a hollowed-out once-was-a-superpower blighted by greed.

Sources are listed at the bottom.

Monday, August 30, 2010

The money behind terror, and Neocon failure

Loretta Napoleoni is an Italian economist, political analyst and author who is an expert on the financing of terrorism.

She's in Australia at the moment and speaking at the University of Sydney.

Some of her commentary puts an interesting persective on what the so called war on terror has cost us...

Napoleoni writes... " The interdependency between terrorism and the global economy goes well beyond the credit crunch, the recession and the euro crisis. Since September 11 it has been extending the boundaries of a shadow world which threatens to replace our own if we do not break away from the legacy of the ''war on terror''. Bringing the troops home is not enough; we need to focus on the true target of this war, on the lifeline of terrorism - we need to focus on the money. "

Along the way she takes a swipe at some of the Bush administrations more egregious failures and inattentions...

She notes the Patriot Act didn't do a thing to stop terrorist financing, but it did prompt Muslim investors to switch investments worth $US1 trillion from the dollar to the euro. The global demand for the greenback retreated drastically in the wake of this.

Previously too, interest rates were the method of counteracting recurrent economic crises - such the Asian financial crisis. Too-low interest rates only hide problems.
However, for a war-chest going into Iraq, the Bush administration sold billions in treasury bonds, and to make that debt competitive, the Federal Reserve progressively slashed interest rates, which fell from 6% before 9/11 to 1.2% by mid-2003.

Bush and co were asleep at the wheel in the economy, as in everything else, and paid little attention to signs of an overheating globalised economy - the housing boom and growing personal debt.

They also paid too little attention to how terrorism is financed. Perhaps it just wasn't heroic and pyrotechnic enough for neocon tastes.

Others have commented on this neocon attitude that things are only worthwhile if they cost the earth. Or someone's blood.
Dr William Coleman, of the department of Economics at the Australian National University, notes of neocon attitudes: "...heroism is only heroism if it is costly. And the more costly it is, the more valuable it is. Thus a hostility to cost amounts to a hostility to heroism."

That is, it has to be said, a lethal circle.

I'll leave the last word with Napoleoni... " Washington's fixation with military intervention also prevented the formulation of an effective policy to thwart terrorist financing, which nobody ever regarded as a real priority. "

Thursday, July 29, 2010

Thoughts on the US economic crisis

I'm not keen on describing the influence of the USA as the "American empire". The allure of words like "empire" can warp what it is they attempt to describe. Yet I've heard the word used a lot recently, whereas once it would only have been used by hawkish politicians to describe something such as the old USSR.

Niall Ferguson, the British historian, uses the word "empire" a lot. Mostly in the context of the (theoretical) imminent decline and fall of America, and what world will come after.

Much of what he says about the US economic situation, however, is hard to refute...

His speech in Sydney last night presented the following:

"The most obvious point is that imperial falls are associated with fiscal crises - sharp imbalances between revenues and expenditures, and the mounting cost of servicing a mountain of public debt.
Think of Ottoman Turkey in the 19th century: debt service rose from 17% of revenue in 1868 to 32% in 1871 to 50% in 1877, two years after the great default that ushered in the disintegration of the Ottoman Empire in the Balkans. Consider Britain in the 20th century. By the mid 1920s, debt charges were absorbing 44.5% of total government expenditure, exceeding defence expenditure every year until 1937, when rearmament finally got under way in earnest.
But Britain's real problems came after 1945, when a substantial proportion of its immense debt burden - equivalent to about a third of gross domestic product - was in foreign hands.
Alarm bells should therefore be ringing loudly in Washington, as the US contemplates a deficit for 2010 of more than $US1.47 trillion - about 10% of gross domestic product, for the second year running.
Since 2001, in the space of just 10 years, the US federal debt in public hands has doubled as a share of GDP from 32% to a projected 66% next year"

Ferguson addresses a particular point of interest to me: the amount of US debt that is exiting the country....

"Remember, half the US federal debt in public hands is in the hands of foreign creditors. Of that, a fifth (22 per cent) is held by the monetary authorities of the People's Republic of China, down from 27 per cent in July last year."

I found that shrinkage curious but Ferguson clarifies "Quietly, discreetly, the Chinese are reducing their exposure to US Treasury bonds. Perhaps they have noticed what the rest of the world's investors pretend not to see - that the US is on an unsustainable fiscal course, with no apparent political means of self-correcting."

In other words... they're leaving a sinking ship.

I was pondering that when I read that the Governator has declared a state of fiscal crisis in what was the wealthiest state in the USA, that state workers are being forced to take three days unpaid leave per month and that a budget cannot be delivered - bizarrely because it takes a two thirds majority to pass a budget.

California bankrupt? If it was a country it would have the 8th largest economy in the world, and it has come to this..

Meanwhile the loony Right is running around saying taxes for the rich have to fall further. What is it with these idiots that they think the only way out is to let unelected plutocrats have what ever they want in the vague hope it will somehow translate into prosperity for the man on the street? If trickle-down economies ever worked it was in a peculiar set of circumstances... much as a broken clock still shows correct time twice a day. The rest of the time it is completely wrong.

One thing will save America: massive revitalisation of production coupled with investment and overhaul of infrastructure. A controlled economic course. The alliance of government and industry that is at the heart of Obama's vision.

I am less than certain the will exists though. The linkage of the American sense of identity to uncontrolled free markets is so strong it is near faith-like, blinding and perverting, a rhetorical tool of those who do not feel prosperity is for everyone.